TBL
4–1
STL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-13-3
4–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 14-16-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
261714417
STL
0511108124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 20-13-3 · STL 14-16-8 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.1 expected goals); the Lightning won 4–1. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 17 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.5 xG · 17 shots
STL 2.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 00:21 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 09:12 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 2nd 06:43 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 08:01 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 05:36 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 57.
TBL 57%STL 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 00:21 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 09:12 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Justin Faulk · 2nd 06:43 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 08:01 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 05:36 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
1
Darren Raddysh, Zemgus Girgensons · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:15
Logan Mailloux· Slashing
Logan Mailloux· Slashing
Raddysh scored on this power play
Minor
2
Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel · Power play (Mailloux, slashing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:43
Zemgus Girgensons· Interference
Zemgus Girgensons· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:42
Robert Thomas· Tripping
Robert Thomas· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:57
Tyler Tucker· Tripping
Tyler Tucker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:04
Logan Mailloux· Holding
Logan Mailloux· Holding
Bjorkstrand scored on this power play
Minor
5
Jake Guentzel, Nikita Kucherov · Power play (Mailloux, holding) · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:06
Jack Finley· Holding
Jack Finley· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/17 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 2-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Blues power plays.