Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 31-13-4
4–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 25-21-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
162717420
SJS
190509123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 31-13-4 · SJS 25-21-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Sharks
The Lightning earned it: 2.2 expected goals to 1.1, and a 4–1 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.1, on 20 and 23 shots on goal.
TBL 2.2 xG · 20 shots
SJS 1.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.5
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 14:37 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 15:10 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 01:49 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 03:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:41 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 72.
TBL 72%SJS 28%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 14:37 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 15:10 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 01:49 · GWG · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 03:17 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:41 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Brandon Hagel, Nikita Kucherov · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:51
Ryan Reaves· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
12:57
Bench· Interference bench
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Sharks power play.