TBL
4–1
WPG
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 34-14-4
4–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 21-25-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
110211116437
WPG
0121804124
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 34-14-4 · WPG 21-25-7 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Jets
The Lightning earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, and a 4–1 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.7 xG · 37 shots
WPG 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dominic James · 1st 14:58 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 01:37 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 2nd 12:25 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 15:17 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:52 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 64.
TBL 64%WPG 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dominic James · 1st 14:58 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 01:37 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 2nd 12:25 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Yanni Gourde · 2nd 15:17 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:52 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:27
J.J. Moser· Holding
J.J. Moser· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:17
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Killed
Minor
4
Nikita Kucherov, Darren Raddysh · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:41
Jack Finley· Delaying game puck over glass
Jack Finley· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:25
Anthony Cirelli· Roughing
Anthony Cirelli· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:25
Cole Perfetti· Roughing
Cole Perfetti· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Lightning went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Jets power plays.