TBL 6–1 FLA Final · W
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Thu, Feb 5, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-14-4
6–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 29-25-3
1ST2ND3RDT TBL 27211210628 FLA 0190916134 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–1
TBL 37-14-4 · FLA 29-25-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–1

Lightning beat the Panthers

Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Lightning won 6–1. Daniil Tarasov allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 34 shots on goal.

TBL 2.6 xG · 28 shots FLA 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing 0.4 · 1.4
2nd 1.0 · 0.8
3rd 1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%FLA 53%

Goals and penalties

7 goals · 33 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Panthers shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
02:08 Brandon Hagel
Victor Hedman · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2
14:08 Zemgus Girgensons GWG
Pontus Holmberg, Yanni Gourde · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2–0
PEN
15:14 Nikita Kucherov· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:50 Zemgus Girgensons· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:58 Dominic James· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:58 Mackie Samoskevich· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:58 Gage Goncalves· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:58 Jesper Boqvist· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
20:00 Matthew Tkachuk· Abuse of officials
Guentzel scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
2nd period
3
01:14 Jake Guentzel PP
Darren Raddysh, Nikita Kucherov · Power play (Tkachuk, abuse of officials) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3–0
PEN
10:48 Anton Lundell· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:20 Nikita Kucherov· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:06 Sam Bennett· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:06 J.J. Moser· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:06 Matthew Tkachuk· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:06 Victor Hedman· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
4
17:50 Erik Cernak
Ryan McDonagh, Dominic James · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4–0
3rd period
PEN
04:06 Matthew Tkachuk· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
04:06 Niko Mikkola· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
04:06 Matthew Tkachuk· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
04:06 Gustav Forsling· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
04:06 J.J. Moser· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
04:06 Brandon Hagel· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
04:06 Matthew Tkachuk· Game
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 J.J. Moser· Game
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Donovan Sebrango· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Gustav Forsling· Game
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Sam Bennett· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Jake Guentzel· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Nikita Kucherov· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Bench· Game misconduct head coach
Killed
0 min
Penalty
PEN
04:06 Yanni Gourde· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Darren Raddysh· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
04:06 Carter Verhaeghe· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
5
06:09 Pontus Holmberg
Gage Goncalves, Oliver Bjorkstrand · poke shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5–0
PEN
06:33 Curtis Douglas· Fighting
Samoskevich scored on this power play
5 min
Major
PEN
06:33 Curtis Douglas· Aggressor
10 min
Misconduct
6
09:50 Mackie Samoskevich PP
Jesper Boqvist, Anton Lundell · Power play (Douglas, fighting) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–1
7
15:41 Oliver Bjorkstrand
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6–1
PEN
16:05 Declan Carlile· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
Goaltending
+1.8
vs expected
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
−2.6
vs expected
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team TBLFLA
Shots on goal
28
34
Expected goals
2.6
2.8
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
45%
55%
Power play
1/2
1/5
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Lightning went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Panthers power plays.