TBL
4–2
TOR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 38-14-4
4–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-22-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
04220212436
TOR
08014212234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 38-14-4 · TOR 27-22-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Maple Leafs
The Lightning were outchanced (4.6 to 3.9 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 3.9, on 34 and 36 shots on goal.
TBL 3.9 xG · 36 shots
TOR 4.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.6 · 1.9
3rd
1.5 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 07:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 02:59 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 3rd 16:19 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 16:30 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 17:13 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 42.
TBL 42%TOR 58%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 6 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 07:58 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (49%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 02:59 · GWG · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 3rd 16:19 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 16:30 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 17:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:06
Simon Benoit· Slashing
Simon Benoit· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:48
Erik Cernak· Interference
Erik Cernak· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:58
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:24
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:43
Simon Benoit· Hooking
Simon Benoit· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Ryan McDonagh· Holding
Ryan McDonagh· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 0-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Maple Leafs power plays.