Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 39-20-4
2–5
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 33-21-10
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
141806218
CBJ
09313210532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
TBL 39-20-4 · CBJ 33-21-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
Lightning fell to the Blue Jackets
The Lightning were outchanced (4.0 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Blue Jackets owned the 3rd period, 1.2 to 0.2 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 32 and 18 shots on goal.
TBL 1.6 xG · 18 shots
CBJ 4.0 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gage Goncalves · 1st 13:38 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 05:57 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Conor Garland · 2nd 06:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 11:42 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
J.J. Moser · 2nd 16:23 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Conor Garland · 3rd 04:00 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Dante Fabbro · 3rd 15:28 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 16.
TBL 16%CBJ 84%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gage Goncalves · 1st 13:38 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 05:57 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Conor Garland · 2nd 06:27 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 11:42 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
J.J. Moser · 2nd 16:23 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Conor Garland · 3rd 04:00 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Dante Fabbro · 3rd 15:28 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:19
J.J. Moser· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:58
Zemgus Girgensons· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:50
Kirill Marchenko· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:10
Cole Sillinger· Elbowing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:10
J.J. Moser· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
19:10
Cole Sillinger· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
19:10
J.J. Moser· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:05
Gage Goncalves· Tripping
Marchenko scored on this power play
Minor
4
Adam Fantilli, Zach Werenski · Power play (Goncalves, tripping) · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
1–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:59
Danton Heinen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:02
Boone Jenner· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:36
Jake Guentzel· Hooking
Garland scored on this power play
Minor
6
Sean Monahan, Zach Werenski · Power play (Guentzel, hooking) · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2–4
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Lightning went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Blue Jackets power plays.