TBL 2–4 CAR Final · L
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 40-21-4
2–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 42-18-6
1ST2ND3RDT TBL 0102702219 CAR 213011211435 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2
TBL 40-21-4 · CAR 42-18-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2

Lightning fell to the Hurricanes

Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 19 and 35 shots on goal.

TBL 2.5 xG · 19 shots CAR 2.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st 0.8 · 1.1
2nd 0.9 · 0.6
3rd 0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 48.
TBL 48%CAR 52%

Goals and penalties

6 goals · 9 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
00:36 Andrei Svechnikov
Sebastian Aho, Sean Walker · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
0–1
PEN
06:27 Andrei Svechnikov· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:40 Yanni Gourde· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:29 Seth Jarvis· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:29 Seth Jarvis· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
14:29 Zemgus Girgensons· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
2
17:28 Sebastian Aho
Andrei Svechnikov, K'Andre Miller · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
0–2
2nd period
PEN
04:32 Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
04:32 Sebastian Aho· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:05 Sean Walker· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:20 Brandon Hagel· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
14:10 Yanni Gourde
Victor Hedman, Pontus Holmberg · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
4
15:31 Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Brayden Point, Gage Goncalves · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2–2
3rd period
5
09:18 Jordan Martinook GWG
Nikolaj Ehlers, Mike Reilly · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2–3
6
18:29 Logan Stankoven EN
Taylor Hall · snap shot, into an empty net
2–4
Goaltending
+0.5
vs expected
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
−0.4
vs expected
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team TBLCAR
Shots on goal
19
35
Expected goals
2.5
2.6
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
46%
54%
Power play
0/2
0/2
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Hurricanes power plays.