TBL
6–3
MIN
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-21-5
6–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 40-20-12
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0113837626
MIN
2101707324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 44-21-5 · MIN 40-20-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Wild
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Lightning erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Raddysh's equalizer — and won 6–3. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 25 shots
MIN 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.1
2nd
2.0 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 02:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Faber · 1st 18:49 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:45 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 09:51 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 15:19 · 3–3 · slap shot, a great chance (33%)
7
Erik Cernak · 3rd 17:07 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:42 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 19:36 · 6–3 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 53.
TBL 53%MIN 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 14 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 02:28 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brock Faber · 1st 18:49 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 05:45 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 09:51 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 15:19 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a great chance (33%)
7
Erik Cernak · 3rd 17:07 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:42 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 6–3
into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:00
Anthony Cirelli· Hooking
Anthony Cirelli· Hooking
Zuccarello scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:50
Corey Perry· Roughing
Corey Perry· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:50
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
02:50
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Michael McCarron· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:50
Corey Perry· Fighting
Corey Perry· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:08
Brock Faber· Holding
Brock Faber· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:35
Brandon Hagel· Abuse of officials
Brandon Hagel· Abuse of officials
Faber scored on this power play
Minor
2
Vladimir Tarasenko, Bobby Brink · Power play (Hagel, abuse of officials) · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
0–2
PEN
5 min
Major
18:55
Nick Foligno· Fighting
Nick Foligno· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
18:55
Scott Sabourin· Fighting
Scott Sabourin· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:10
Jonas Brodin· Slashing
Jonas Brodin· Slashing
Point scored on this power play
Minor
3
Brandon Hagel, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Brodin, slashing) · snap shot, a great chance (43%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:49
Gage Goncalves· Cross-checking
Gage Goncalves· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:10
Erik Cernak· Tripping
Erik Cernak· Tripping
Killed
Minor
5
Darren Raddysh, Gage Goncalves · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:04
Marcus Johansson· Holding
Marcus Johansson· Holding
Raddysh scored on this power play
Minor
6
Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel · Power play (Johansson, holding) · slap shot, a great chance (33%)
3–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:38
Ryan Hartman· Cross-checking
Ryan Hartman· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Wild power plays.