TBL
3–4
SEA
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-21-6
3–4
Final / OTL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 32-29-10
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
1621501101333
SEA
28170411420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 44-21-6 · SEA 32-29-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning fell to the Kraken
The Lightning created the better chances (2.6 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Montour's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.4, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
TBL 2.6 xG · 33 shots
SEA 1.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 0.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.1
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 15:18 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 17:01 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Kaapo Kakko · 1st 18:12 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 03:35 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:56 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Corey Perry · 2nd 10:18 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brandon Montour · OT 02:47 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 71.
TBL 71%SEA 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 15:18 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 17:01 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Kaapo Kakko · 1st 18:12 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 03:35 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:56 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Corey Perry · 2nd 10:18 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Brandon Montour · OT 02:47 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:08
Emil Lilleberg· Holding
Emil Lilleberg· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
5 min
Major
02:16
Berkly Catton· Fighting
Berkly Catton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:16
J.J. Moser· Fighting
J.J. Moser· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Pontus Holmberg· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Brandon Montour· Roughing
Brandon Montour· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Brandon Montour· Roughing
Brandon Montour· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:20
Ryker Evans· Cross-checking
Ryker Evans· Cross-checking
Perry scored on this power play
Minor
6
Jake Guentzel, Nikita Kucherov · Power play (Evans, cross-checking) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:32
Corey Perry· Roughing
Corey Perry· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:32
Vince Dunn· Roughing
Vince Dunn· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Lightning went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Kraken power play.