TBL
3–2
NSH
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 46-21-6
3–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 34-31-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01111216328
NSH
01018113231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 46-21-6 · NSH 34-31-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Predators
The Lightning earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Justus Annunen stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 3.6 xG · 28 shots
NSH 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joakim Kemell · 2nd 08:31 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 13:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 04:33 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 04:53 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 06:52 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 65.
TBL 65%NSH 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 9 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joakim Kemell · 2nd 08:31 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 13:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 04:33 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 04:53 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Corey Perry · 3rd 06:52 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:28
Erik Haula· Holding
Erik Haula· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:59
Jake Guentzel· Tripping
Jake Guentzel· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:23
Scott Sabourin· Slashing
Scott Sabourin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:47
Luke Evangelista· Hooking
Luke Evangelista· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:17
Steven Stamkos· High-sticking
Steven Stamkos· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2
Darren Raddysh, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Darren Raddysh· Interference
Darren Raddysh· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:02
Matthew Wood· Holding
Matthew Wood· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:15
Erik Cernak· Boarding
Erik Cernak· Boarding
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
11:15
Erik Cernak· Abuse of officials
Erik Cernak· Abuse of officials
Misconduct
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 0-for-4 on the power play and killed all 4 Predators power plays.