TBL
6–3
PIT
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 47-22-6
6–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 38-22-16
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11139213633
PIT
2110815324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
TBL 47-22-6 · PIT 38-22-16 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
Lightning beat the Penguins
The Lightning earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.0, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 33 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 3.8 xG · 33 shots
PIT 2.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 05:06 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 07:01 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 16:10 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:11 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 19:05 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 13:50 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 15:33 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Egor Chinakhov · 3rd 19:58 · 6–3 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 76.
TBL 76%PIT 24%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 9 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 05:06 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Rickard Rakell · 1st 07:01 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Egor Chinakhov · 1st 16:10 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:11 · SH · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 14:08 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
6
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 19:05 · GWG · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 13:50 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 15:33 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Egor Chinakhov · 3rd 19:58 · PP · 6–3
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:52
Connor Clifton· Interference
Connor Clifton· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:24
Darren Raddysh· Holding
Darren Raddysh· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:04
Evgeni Malkin· Roughing
Evgeni Malkin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:04
Oliver Bjorkstrand· Roughing
Oliver Bjorkstrand· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:04
Evgeni Malkin· Cross-checking
Evgeni Malkin· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:35
Emil Lilleberg· Holding
Emil Lilleberg· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:15
Connor Dewar· Holding the stick
Connor Dewar· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:37
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Killed
Minor
7
Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Jake Guentzel · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:10
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Chinakhov scored on this power play
Minor
9
Kris Letang, Anthony Mantha · Power play (D'Astous, cross-checking) · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
6–3
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Penguins power plays.