TBL
3–1
BOS
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 48-22-6
3–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 43-26-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0805310323
BOS
0811103122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
TBL 48-22-6 · BOS 43-26-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
Lightning beat the Bruins
Chances were even (1.4 to 1.6 expected goals); the Lightning won 3–1. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 23 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 1.4 xG · 23 shots
BOS 1.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 06:47 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · 3rd 02:13 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 14:29 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:27 · 3–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 46.
TBL 46%BOS 54%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 5 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 06:47 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Charle-Edouard D'Astous · 3rd 02:13 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 14:29 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 3–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:47
Darren Raddysh· Hooking
Darren Raddysh· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:47
Pontus Holmberg· Holding
Pontus Holmberg· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Closing hand on puck
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Closing hand on puck
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:16
Fraser Minten· Interference
Fraser Minten· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:31
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Lightning went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 4 Bruins power plays.