TBL
3–2
MTL
Final / OT · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-1
3–2
Final / OTW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
160111819334
MTL
112190600227
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
TBL 1-1 · MTL 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Lightning won it in overtime on Moser's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
TBL 2.2 xG · 34 shots
MTL 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
OT
0.6 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 08:40 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lane Hutson · 1st 16:11 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 18:36 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 12:33 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
J.J. Moser · OT 12:48 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 48.
TBL 48%MTL 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 23 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 08:40 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lane Hutson · 1st 16:11 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 18:36 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 12:33 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
J.J. Moser · OT 12:48 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:11
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:11
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:11
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Nikita Kucherov· Interference
Nikita Kucherov· Interference
Hutson scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Josh Anderson· Roughing
Josh Anderson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Brandon Hagel· Roughing
Brandon Hagel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Alexandre Carrier· Roughing
Alexandre Carrier· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Corey Perry· Roughing
Corey Perry· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Corey Perry· Roughing
Corey Perry· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Jake Evans· Roughing
Jake Evans· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Jake Guentzel· Roughing
Jake Guentzel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Kirby Dach· Roughing
Kirby Dach· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Darren Raddysh· Roughing
Darren Raddysh· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:20
Mike Matheson· High-sticking
Mike Matheson· High-sticking
Offsetting
Minor
2
Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield · Power play (Kucherov, interference) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:49
Nick Paul· Cross-checking
Nick Paul· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Yanni Gourde· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:00
Arber Xhekaj· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Arber Xhekaj· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
05:14
Juraj Slafkovský· Fighting
Juraj Slafkovský· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:14
Brandon Hagel· Fighting
Brandon Hagel· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:20
Kaiden Guhle· Hooking
Kaiden Guhle· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:19
Ryan McDonagh· Roughing
Ryan McDonagh· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:30
Ivan Demidov· Tripping
Ivan Demidov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
4
Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:45
Scott Sabourin· Interference
Scott Sabourin· Interference
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Canadiens power plays.