TBL
2–3
MTL
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-3
2–3
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 3-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
08215017240
MTL
1611216324
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Lightning trail the series 2–3
TBL 2-3 · MTL 3-2 · Game 5 — the Lightning trail the series 2–3
Lightning fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (1.9 to 1.8 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–3. Jakub Dobes stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 1.9 xG · 40 shots
MTL 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 03:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
2
Dominic James · 2nd 06:49 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Kirby Dach · 2nd 07:00 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:23 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alexandre Texier · 3rd 01:06 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 51.
TBL 51%MTL 49%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 03:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
2
Dominic James · 2nd 06:49 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Kirby Dach · 2nd 07:00 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 17:23 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alexandre Texier · 3rd 01:06 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
07:30
Ryan McDonagh· High-sticking
Ryan McDonagh· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:06
Jake Evans· Delaying game puck over glass
Jake Evans· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:52
Yanni Gourde· Holding the stick
Yanni Gourde· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:52
Kaiden Guhle· Holding
Kaiden Guhle· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:13
Lane Hutson· Delaying game puck over glass
Lane Hutson· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:17
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Arber Xhekaj· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Canadiens power play.