TBL
1–2
MTL
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 3-4
1–2
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0911208129
MTL
14001529
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Lightning trail the series 3–4
TBL 3-4 · MTL 4-3 · Game 7 — the Lightning trail the series 3–4
Lightning fell to the Canadiens
The Lightning created the better chances (2.0 to 0.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.0 expected goals to 0.6, on 29 and 9 shots on goal.
TBL 2.0 xG · 29 shots
MTL 0.6 xG · 9 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 18:39 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dominic James · 2nd 13:27 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 11:07 · 1–2 · bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 80.
TBL 80%MTL 20%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 5 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Suzuki · 1st 18:39 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Dominic James · 2nd 13:27 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 11:07 · GWG · 1–2
Bat shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:14
Mike Matheson· Tripping
Mike Matheson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:04
Brayden Point· Holding
Brayden Point· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:33
Kaiden Guhle· Holding
Kaiden Guhle· Holding
James scored on this power play
Minor
2
Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Gage Goncalves · Power play (Guhle, holding) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
15:22
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:53
Mike Matheson· Delaying game
Mike Matheson· Delaying game
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
7/9 saves · 2 GA · 0.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Canadiens power plays.