TOR
5–2
BOS
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 54-21-7
5–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 51-26-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
31001027527
BOS
1609111226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
TOR 54-21-7 · BOS 51-26-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
Maple Leafs beat the Bruins
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.7 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Jeremy Swayman allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 26 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 2.0 xG · 27 shots
BOS 2.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trent Frederic · 1st 01:10 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 03:51 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 13:16 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
· 1st 19:52 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 08:00 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 12:49 · 4–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
7
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 19:50 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 38.
TOR 38%BOS 62%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trent Frederic · 1st 01:10 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 03:51 · PP · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 13:16 · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
· 1st 19:52 · GWG · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 08:00 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 12:49 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
7
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 19:50 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Mark Giordano, Timothy Liljegren · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
