TOR
3–5
TBL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01318213334
TBL
19214211534
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
TOR 1-1 · TBL 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Lightning
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.6 to 3.0 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Jack Campbell allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 34 shots
TBL 3.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Hedman · 1st 19:57 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Corey Perry · 2nd 02:21 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 07:47 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 09:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 01:33 · 1–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:38 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:53 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 15:43 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 40.
TOR 40%TBL 60%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Hedman · 1st 19:57 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Corey Perry · 2nd 02:21 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 07:47 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 09:57 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 01:33 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 05:38 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 11:53 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Alexander Kerfoot · 3rd 15:43 · SH · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
