TOR
4–3
TBL
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-2
4–3
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0411437425
TBL
21409112335
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 3–2
TOR 3-2 · TBL 2-3 · Game 5 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 3–2
Maple Leafs beat the Lightning
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Rielly's equalizer — and won 4–3. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.2, on 25 and 35 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 25 shots
TBL 3.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 05:19 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 06:11 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 2nd 03:35 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 03:01 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 04:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 08:17 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:54 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 46.
TOR 46%TBL 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 05:19 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 06:11 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 2nd 03:35 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 03:01 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 04:14 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 08:17 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:54 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
