TOR
1–2
TBL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-4
1–2
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0618017131
TBL
1811106225
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 3–4
TOR 3-4 · TBL 4-3 · Game 7 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 3–4
Maple Leafs fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–2. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 3.3 xG · 31 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.8
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 18:24 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 13:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 16:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 56.
TOR 56%TBL 44%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 18:24 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 13:25 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 16:32 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
