TOR
3–2
WSH
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-1-0
3–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 0-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1211919339
WSH
2110906226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 1-1-0 · WSH 0-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Capitals
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.5, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Charlie Lindgren stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 39 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 4.3 xG · 39 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 06:40 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Nic Dowd · 1st 09:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Johansson · 1st 13:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 03:53 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:55 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 75.
TOR 75%WSH 25%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 06:40 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Nic Dowd · 1st 09:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Johansson · 1st 13:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 03:53 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:55 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Erik Gustafsson, Trevor van Riemsdyk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
