TOR 3–2 OTT Final · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Sat, Oct 15, 2022 · 2022-23 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-1-0
3–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT TOR 01311128332 OTT 11107110228 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 2-1-0 · OTT 0-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0

Maple Leafs beat the Senators

Chances were even (3.1 to 2.8 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 3–2. Holl's winner came with 1:55 left.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.

TOR 3.1 xG · 32 shots OTT 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.7 · 0.9
2nd 1.4 · 0.7
3rd 0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 55.
TOR 55%OTT 45%

Goals and penalties

5 goals · 0 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Senators shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
09:09 Shane Pinto PP
Claude Giroux, Jake Sanderson · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
0–1
2nd period
2
19:43 David Kampf
Jake Muzzin, Calle Jarnkrok · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
3
13:24 William Nylander PP
Auston Matthews, John Tavares · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2–1
4
14:49 Claude Giroux
Alex DeBrincat, Thomas Chabot · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
2–2
5
18:05 Justin Holl GWG
Michael Bunting, Mitch Marner · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
+0.8
vs expected
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.1
vs expected
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team TOROTT
Shots on goal
32
28
Expected goals
3.1
2.8
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Power play
1/0
1/0
Penalty minutes
0
0