TOR
5–2
PHI
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-4-2
5–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 5-3-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
217013314544
PHI
1609110225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 5-4-2 · PHI 5-3-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flyers
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Maple Leafs owned the 1st period, 1.6 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 44 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 4.1 xG · 44 shots
PHI 1.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
1.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:09 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 16:40 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
John Tavares · 1st 18:33 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 02:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 07:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 3rd 12:42 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
John Tavares · 3rd 15:23 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 82.
TOR 82%PHI 18%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:09 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 16:40 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
John Tavares · 1st 18:33 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
· 3rd 02:49 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Owen Tippett · 3rd 07:01 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 3rd 12:42 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
John Tavares · 3rd 15:23 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
