TOR
3–4
VGK
Final / OT · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-4-3
3–4
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 12-2-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
172150900331
VGK
28051611420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 7-4-3 · VGK 12-2-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Smith's goal. Erik Kallgren allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 31 shots
VGK 3.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nicolas Roy · 1st 00:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 05:05 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 1st 17:55 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 13:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 16:56 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Reilly Smith · 3rd 11:43 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Reilly Smith · OT 00:23 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 56.
TOR 56%VGK 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nicolas Roy · 1st 00:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Timothy Liljegren · 1st 05:05 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jack Eichel · 1st 17:55 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 13:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Timothy Liljegren · 2nd 16:56 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Reilly Smith · 3rd 11:43 · SH · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Reilly Smith · OT 00:23 · GWG · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
