TOR
2–4
PIT
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-5-3
2–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 6-6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11011604230
PIT
171927423
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 7-5-3 · PIT 6-6-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Penguins
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.0 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Erik Kallgren allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.9, on 30 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 30 shots
PIT 1.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 13:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 01:08 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 17:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brock McGinn · 3rd 01:54 · 2–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (11%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:47 · 2–4 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 68.
TOR 68%PIT 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 13:49 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 19:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jason Zucker · 2nd 01:08 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 17:17 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brock McGinn · 3rd 01:54 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (11%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:47 · EN · 2–4
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
