TOR
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 10-5-4
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-11-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3111616523
BUF
08112114234
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 10-5-4 · BUF 7-11-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–2. Matt Murray stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 23 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 23 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 12:58 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 17:27 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Mark Giordano · 1st 18:21 · 3–0
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 10:01 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 2nd 14:50 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 10:37 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 15:07 · 5–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 50.
TOR 50%BUF 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 12:58 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 17:27 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Mark Giordano · 1st 18:21 · SH · GWG · 3–0
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 10:01 · PP · 3–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 2nd 14:50 · PP · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 10:37 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 15:07 · PP · 5–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
