Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 10-5-5
2–3
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 12-8-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
0921301000232
NYI
17081712324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 10-5-5 · NYI 12-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Islanders
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.2 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Beauvillier's goal. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 3.2 xG · 32 shots
NYI 2.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 15:21 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 04:49 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:06 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Josh Bailey · 3rd 17:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Anthony Beauvillier · OT 01:56 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 64.
TOR 64%NYI 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noah Dobson · 1st 15:21 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 04:49 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:06 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Josh Bailey · 3rd 17:02 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Anthony Beauvillier · OT 01:56 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Timothy Liljegren, Rasmus Sandin · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.