Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-5-5
3–1
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 8-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
010112210332
SJS
0711106124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 15-5-5 · SJS 8-14-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Sharks
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Engvall's winner came with 2:27 left. Ilya Samsonov stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 32 shots
SJS 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:19 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Matt Nieto · 2nd 07:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 17:33 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 63.
TOR 63%SJS 37%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:19 · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Matt Nieto · 2nd 07:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 17:33 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.