TOR
5–4
CGY
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 18-5-6
5–4
Final / OTW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-11-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
291811413534
CGY
261131700426
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 18-5-6 · CGY 13-11-4 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flames
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.6, and they won it in overtime on Marner's goal. Matt Murray allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.6, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 3.2 xG · 34 shots
CGY 1.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Noah Hanifin · 1st 09:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 1st 12:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 1st 17:10 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 11:11 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 2nd 17:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 03:31 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 06:10 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
9
Mitch Marner · OT 00:43 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 76.
TOR 76%CGY 24%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 05:04 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Noah Hanifin · 1st 09:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 1st 12:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 1st 17:10 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 11:11 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 2nd 17:19 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Noah Hanifin · 3rd 03:31 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 06:10 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
9
Mitch Marner · OT 00:43 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
