TOR
4–3
PHI
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-7-6
4–3
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 11-16-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01121528434
PHI
1305211319
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 21-7-6 · PHI 11-16-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flyers
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 1.8, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 34 and 19 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 34 shots
PHI 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 04:17 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 16:50 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 19:23 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 00:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 11:39 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 12:01 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Farabee · 3rd 13:24 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 74.
TOR 74%PHI 26%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 04:17 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 16:50 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 19:23 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 00:33 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 11:39 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Morgan Frost · 3rd 12:01 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joel Farabee · 3rd 13:24 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
