Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 23-8-7
5–6
Final / SOL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 18-17-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TOR
183917010525
STL
21031304051632
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 23-8-7 · STL 18-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Blues
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.6 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Jordan Binnington allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.8 xG · 25 shots
STL 3.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
0.8 · 1.5
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 04:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 13:01 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 1st 17:28 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 03:09 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 04:38 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Josh Leivo · 2nd 10:28 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Michael Bunting · 2nd 10:45 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
8
Brandon Saad · 2nd 11:45 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:37 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:55 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 38.
TOR 38%STL 62%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Saad · 1st 04:52 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brayden Schenn · 1st 13:01 · PP · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 1st 17:28 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 03:09 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 04:38 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Josh Leivo · 2nd 10:28 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
7
Michael Bunting · 2nd 10:45 · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
8
Brandon Saad · 2nd 11:45 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:37 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Michael Bunting · 3rd 07:55 · PP · 5–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
9
William Nylander, Timothy Liljegren · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–5
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Blues
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/25 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.