Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 23-9-7
1–5
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 21-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0911206127
SEA
03412111526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 23-9-7 · SEA 21-12-4 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Kraken
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.0 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Matt Murray allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 27 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 27 shots
SEA 1.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 07:02 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 10:54 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 2nd 11:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jared McCann · 2nd 13:50 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matty Beniers · 2nd 17:25 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 02:57 · 1–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 73.
TOR 73%SEA 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 07:02 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 10:54 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 2nd 11:08 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jared McCann · 2nd 13:50 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matty Beniers · 2nd 17:25 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexander Wennberg · 3rd 02:57 · 1–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.