TOR
2–1
NSH
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-9-7
2–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 19-15-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11507113235
NSH
01017016133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 26-9-7 · NSH 19-15-6 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 2–1. Marner's winner came with 1:15 left. Matt Murray stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 33 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 35 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 16:54 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:45 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%NSH 55%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 16:54 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 01:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 18:45 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
