TOR
5–4
FLA
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-11-7
5–4
Final / OTW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 21-20-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
2141131911537
FLA
37180400419
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 27-11-7 · FLA 21-20-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
Down 2–4 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Nylander's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Nylander's goal. Matt Murray allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 37 and 19 shots on goal.
TOR 4.6 xG · 37 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 01:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Dryden Hunt · 1st 02:38 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 12:34 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 15:10 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Josh Mahura · 1st 18:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 01:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 19:57 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 05:59 · 4–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
9
William Nylander · OT 01:53 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 80.
TOR 80%FLA 20%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 01:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Dryden Hunt · 1st 02:38 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Anton Lundell · 1st 12:34 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Alexander Kerfoot · 1st 15:10 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Josh Mahura · 1st 18:04 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 01:41 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 2nd 19:57 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 05:59 · 4–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
9
William Nylander · OT 01:53 · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
11/11 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
4/8 saves · 4 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
