TOR
4–1
WPG
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 28-11-7
4–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 29-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
06310111427
WPG
016010112138
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 28-11-7 · WPG 29-16-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Jets
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (4.6 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Ilya Samsonov stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 38 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 2.0 xG · 27 shots
WPG 4.6 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.7 · 1.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 2.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 03:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 13:49 · 3–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
4
Kyle Connor · 3rd 04:00 · 3–1 · slap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Mark Giordano · 3rd 17:33 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 15.
TOR 15%WPG 85%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 03:47 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 13:49 · SH · 3–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
4
Kyle Connor · 3rd 04:00 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Mark Giordano · 3rd 17:33 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
