TOR
5–2
NYI
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-11-8
5–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
06422111539
NYI
113110010233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 29-11-8 · NYI 23-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Islanders
The Maple Leafs earned it: 5.1 expected goals to 4.2, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Ilya Samsonov stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 4.2, on 39 and 33 shots on goal.
TOR 5.1 xG · 39 shots
NYI 4.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.8
2nd · the swing
3.1 · 1.9
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anders Lee · 1st 19:37 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 05:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Anders Lee · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 07:53 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 09:33 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 16:32 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:44 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 61.
TOR 61%NYI 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anders Lee · 1st 19:37 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (56%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 05:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Anders Lee · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 07:53 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 09:33 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 16:32 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:44 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 5.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
