TOR
3–2
NYR
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-11-8
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 26-14-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1801611011335
NYR
092110900229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 30-11-8 · NYR 26-14-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Rangers
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 2.1, and they won it in overtime on Marner's goal. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 4.2 xG · 35 shots
NYR 2.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 02:27 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Filip Chytil · 2nd 02:09 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Filip Chytil · 2nd 06:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 15:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Mitch Marner · OT 00:19 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 80.
TOR 80%NYR 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 02:27 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Filip Chytil · 2nd 02:09 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Filip Chytil · 2nd 06:31 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 15:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Mitch Marner · OT 00:19 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Joey Anderson, Alexander Kerfoot · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
