TOR
2–6
OTT
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-12-8
2–6
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 22-23-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11511206233
OTT
11431228634
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 30-12-8 · OTT 22-23-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–6. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.4, on 33 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 33 shots
OTT 3.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.7 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 01:32 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joey Anderson · 1st 07:15 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 00:23 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 02:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
5
Derick Brassard · 2nd 09:57 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 16:37 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 03:31 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Claude Giroux · 3rd 14:53 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 57.
TOR 57%OTT 43%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Chabot · 1st 01:32 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joey Anderson · 1st 07:15 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 00:23 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 02:44 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
5
Derick Brassard · 2nd 09:57 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 16:37 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 03:31 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Claude Giroux · 3rd 14:53 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/34 saves · 6 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
