TOR
5–1
WSH
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 31-12-8
5–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 26-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01041314527
WSH
1701205124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 31-12-8 · WSH 26-20-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Capitals
The Maple Leafs earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 27 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
WSH 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nicklas Backstrom · 1st 17:17 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:29 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:00 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 14:20 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 16:47 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 68.
TOR 68%WSH 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nicklas Backstrom · 1st 17:17 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 01:29 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:00 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 10:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 14:20 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 16:47 · 5–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Pontus Holmberg, Mark Giordano · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5–1
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
