TOR
2–5
BOS
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 31-13-8
2–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 39-7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01419112235
BOS
0132838529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 31-13-8 · BOS 39-7-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Ilya Samsonov allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 35 shots
BOS 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Forbort · 2nd 06:57 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 12:33 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
A.J. Greer · 3rd 02:13 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 08:38 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 09:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 12:19 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 60.
TOR 60%BOS 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Forbort · 2nd 06:57 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:25 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 12:33 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
A.J. Greer · 3rd 02:13 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 08:38 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 09:08 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 12:19 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
