Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 32-14-8
3–4
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 16-33-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
21101018329
CBJ
04321115440
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 32-14-8 · CBJ 16-33-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Blue Jackets
The Maple Leafs let a 2–0 lead get away: the Blue Jackets came back with four unanswered goals — Marchenko's equalizer — and won 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 29 and 40 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 29 shots
CBJ 3.1 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 02:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 10:40 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Boone Jenner · 2nd 04:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 15:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 15:58 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 01:20 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Kent Johnson · 3rd 05:46 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 48.
TOR 48%CBJ 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 02:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 10:40 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Boone Jenner · 2nd 04:21 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 15:01 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
5
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 15:58 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 01:20 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Kent Johnson · 3rd 05:46 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Alexander Kerfoot, Calle Jarnkrok · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.