TOR
5–2
CHI
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 33-14-8
5–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 16-32-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
318213011542
CHI
1141708229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 33-14-8 · CHI 16-32-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Blackhawks
The Maple Leafs earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 1.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Maple Leafs owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 42 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 4.7 xG · 42 shots
CHI 1.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:09 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 01:02 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Rasmus Sandin · 1st 08:14 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 1st 11:21 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 00:46 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 2nd 07:37 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Conor Timmins · 2nd 16:07 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 91.
TOR 91%CHI 9%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:09 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sam Lafferty · 1st 01:02 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Rasmus Sandin · 1st 08:14 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 1st 11:21 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 00:46 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 2nd 07:37 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Conor Timmins · 2nd 16:07 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/42 saves · 5 GA · 4.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
