Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 34-14-8
5–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 23-29-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
016314211541
MTL
0131809130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 34-14-8 · MTL 23-29-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs beat the Canadiens
The Maple Leafs earned it: 5.2 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Joseph Woll stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 41 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 5.2 xG · 41 shots
MTL 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Anderson · 2nd 00:42 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 05:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 13:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:20 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 03:47 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
David Kampf · 3rd 14:53 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 85.
TOR 85%MTL 15%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Anderson · 2nd 00:42 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Bunting · 2nd 05:32 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 13:20 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:20 · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 03:47 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
David Kampf · 3rd 14:53 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 5.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.