TOR
2–1
MIN
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 36-15-8
2–1
Final / OTW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 32-21-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
190100312224
MIN
160120700125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 36-15-8 · MIN 32-21-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Wild
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.7 to 2.1 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Nylander's goal anyway. Ilya Samsonov stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 25 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.1 xG · 24 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 12:10 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
David Kampf · 1st 16:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · OT 01:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 40.
TOR 40%MIN 60%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 12:10 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
David Kampf · 1st 16:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · OT 01:05 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
