TOR
7–4
EDM
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-17-8
7–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 36-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
114413211738
EDM
281919426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 40-17-8 · EDM 36-23-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Oilers
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Nylander's equalizer — and won 7–4. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 38 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Noel Acciari · 1st 03:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 03:27 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Evander Kane · 1st 11:24 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 02:33 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 12:56 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 14:49 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
John Tavares · 2nd 15:56 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
John Tavares · 2nd 18:55 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:50 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
10
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 12:31 · 6–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Noel Acciari · 3rd 19:10 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 71.
TOR 71%EDM 29%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Noel Acciari · 1st 03:05 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Mattias Ekholm · 1st 03:27 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Evander Kane · 1st 11:24 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 02:33 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 12:56 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 14:49 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
John Tavares · 2nd 15:56 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
John Tavares · 2nd 18:55 · PP · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:50 · PP · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
10
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 12:31 · PP · 6–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Noel Acciari · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Evan Bouchard, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
10
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6–4
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
