TOR
3–4
BUF
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-18-8
3–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-28-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01223113328
BUF
0311739429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 40-18-8 · BUF 33-28-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Sabres
The Maple Leafs let a 2–0 lead get away: the Sabres came back with four unanswered goals — Tuch's equalizer — and won 3–4. Matt Murray allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 2.0 xG · 28 shots
BUF 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 04:13 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 14:58 · 2–1 · bat shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 03:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 09:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:19 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 18:58 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 37.
TOR 37%BUF 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 04:13 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 14:58 · 2–1
Bat shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 03:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 09:39 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:19 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
William Nylander · 3rd 18:58 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
