TOR
5–2
CAR
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 41-18-9
5–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 44-15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3111518524
CAR
111110013234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 41-18-9 · CAR 44-15-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Hurricanes
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.9 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 1.9 xG · 24 shots
CAR 2.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 02:54 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:30 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brady Skjei · 1st 14:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:38 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:45 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
· 2nd 14:59 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 08:56 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 33.
TOR 33%CAR 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 02:54 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:30 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brady Skjei · 1st 14:37 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:38 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:45 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
· 2nd 14:59 · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 08:56 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Teuvo Teravainen, Jesperi Kotkaniemi · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
