TOR
2–3
FLA
Final / OT · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 44-20-10
2–3
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 37-31-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
01411511001240
FLA
1701111011329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 44-20-10 · FLA 37-31-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.3 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Montour's goal. Alex Lyon stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 40 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 3.6 xG · 40 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 1.5
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 01:00 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 03:13 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:40 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:00 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Brandon Montour · OT 01:41 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 55.
TOR 55%FLA 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anton Lundell · 1st 01:00 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 03:13 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 3rd 06:40 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:00 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Brandon Montour · OT 01:41 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
