TOR
2–5
DET
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 45-21-10
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 34-33-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
115013117245
DET
3100727524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TOR 45-21-10 · DET 34-33-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.9 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 45 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 3.9 xG · 45 shots
DET 2.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.9 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Olli Maatta · 1st 01:30 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 07:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 12:45 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 1st 19:21 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 06:00 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 10:16 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 17:48 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 66.
TOR 66%DET 34%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Olli Maatta · 1st 01:30 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Calle Jarnkrok · 1st 07:33 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
3
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 12:45 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Larkin · 1st 19:21 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 06:00 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 10:16 · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 17:48 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
5/7 saves · 2 GA · 0.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
