TOR
4–2
CBJ
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 46-21-10
4–2
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 24-45-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
116117217450
CBJ
1501219226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 46-21-10 · CBJ 24-45-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Blue Jackets
The Maple Leafs earned it: 5.9 expected goals to 2.3, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Jet Greaves stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 50 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 5.9 xG · 50 shots
CBJ 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st · the swing
2.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
1.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 05:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 12:22 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
3
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 07:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
· 3rd 08:11 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 12:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:57 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 90.
TOR 90%CBJ 10%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 05:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 12:22 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
3
Alexander Kerfoot · 2nd 07:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
· 3rd 08:11 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 12:03 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
46/49 saves · 3 GA · 5.9 xGA
Stopped 2.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
