TOR
7–1
MTL
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 47-21-11
7–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 31-43-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
218216312746
MTL
0111406121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TOR 47-21-11 · MTL 31-43-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Maple Leafs beat the Canadiens
The Maple Leafs earned it: 5.2 expected goals to 1.1, and a 7–1 win to show for it. Samuel Montembeault allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 1.1, on 46 and 21 shots on goal.
TOR 5.2 xG · 46 shots
MTL 1.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.5 · 0.1
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
1.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 09:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 15:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Johnathan Kovacevic · 2nd 02:28 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 03:56 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 04:52 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 06:01 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:51 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 16:50 · 7–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 95.
TOR 95%MTL 5%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 09:08 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 15:16 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Johnathan Kovacevic · 2nd 02:28 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
William Nylander · 2nd 03:56 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 04:52 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 06:01 · PP · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 13:51 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 16:50 · PP · 7–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/46 saves · 7 GA · 5.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
